TESLA HAS THE MOST EXCITING CHART OF ANY PUBLICLY TRADED COMPANY
This numbers are already obsolete, this was applicable to at the end of September, tesla recently has reached 1 ev made every 13 seconds. That implies and annualized run rate of between 2.75 to 3.4 million cars produced. You know the papermaking rule yes? 1 million evs = $417 in share price.
The number that tesla should be trading right now, is 2.75 * $417 = ???? And 3.4 * $417 = ????? - this is the third time the shorts pile into tesla. Every time the distance traveled is enormous.
CALCULATE THE PRICE OF YOUR TESLA SHARES IN SECONDS - A MODEL FOR YOU TO COPY
CARS PRODUCED 687,000.00
ANNUALIZED PRODUCTION 2,748,000.00 1
AVERAGE CAR PRICE $69,500.00
PROFIT MARGIN % PER CAR 39%
PROFIT MARGIN PER CAR $27,105.00 1
PRICE MULTIPLE 30.00 2
TOTAL SHARES
OUTSTANDING SHARES 3,130,000,000 3
SHARES TRADED 2,600,000,000
SHORTED SHARES estimated 156,500,000
VALUE OF SHORTED SHARES $36,918,350,000.00
VALUE OF TRADE SHARES $613,340,000,000.00
SHARES TRADED PER DAY 28,906,061
Calculation
1 Multiply Net per car x Annualized Production $74,484,540,000
2 Multiply the result of 1 x 30 $2,234,536,200,000
3 Divide 2 by the Total Shares $713.91 TOTAL 1
STEP 2: NET PRESENT VALUE FUTURE PRODUCTION FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS
CALCULATE CAPACITY ADDED
TEXAS 16,000,000
BERLIN 500,000
SHANGHAI EXPANSION 1,000,000
TOTAL EXPANDED CAPACITY AVAILABLE IN 5 YEARS 17,500,000
PROFIT MARGINED PER VEHICLE $27,105
TOTAL PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $474,337,500,000
RISK FREE RATE FOR DISCOUNT 5%
NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE PRODUCTION $451,750,000,005
SIMILAR TO ABC COSTING
1. DISCOUNT PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $451,750,000,005
how to discount, USE NPV formula at 5% for 5 periods
2. Multiply the NPV x 30 the multiple $13,552,500,000,136
3. Divide by the total shares $4,329.87 TOTAL 2
NOW ADD THE TWO TOTAL $5,043.78 TOTAL 3
A TESLA SHARE SHOULD BE TRADING FOR $5,043.78 <<< THIS NUMBER
feel free to gather data from tesla's other ventures
The number that tesla should be trading right now, is 2.75 * $417 = ???? And 3.4 * $417 = ????? - this is the third time the shorts pile into tesla. Every time the distance traveled is enormous.
CALCULATE THE PRICE OF YOUR TESLA SHARES IN SECONDS - A MODEL FOR YOU TO COPY
CARS PRODUCED 687,000.00
ANNUALIZED PRODUCTION 2,748,000.00 1
AVERAGE CAR PRICE $69,500.00
PROFIT MARGIN % PER CAR 39%
PROFIT MARGIN PER CAR $27,105.00 1
PRICE MULTIPLE 30.00 2
TOTAL SHARES
OUTSTANDING SHARES 3,130,000,000 3
SHARES TRADED 2,600,000,000
SHORTED SHARES estimated 156,500,000
VALUE OF SHORTED SHARES $36,918,350,000.00
VALUE OF TRADE SHARES $613,340,000,000.00
SHARES TRADED PER DAY 28,906,061
Calculation
1 Multiply Net per car x Annualized Production $74,484,540,000
2 Multiply the result of 1 x 30 $2,234,536,200,000
3 Divide 2 by the Total Shares $713.91 TOTAL 1
STEP 2: NET PRESENT VALUE FUTURE PRODUCTION FOR THE NEXT 5 YEARS
CALCULATE CAPACITY ADDED
TEXAS 16,000,000
BERLIN 500,000
SHANGHAI EXPANSION 1,000,000
TOTAL EXPANDED CAPACITY AVAILABLE IN 5 YEARS 17,500,000
PROFIT MARGINED PER VEHICLE $27,105
TOTAL PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $474,337,500,000
RISK FREE RATE FOR DISCOUNT 5%
NET PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE PRODUCTION $451,750,000,005
SIMILAR TO ABC COSTING
1. DISCOUNT PROFIT FROM ADDED CAPACITY $451,750,000,005
how to discount, USE NPV formula at 5% for 5 periods
2. Multiply the NPV x 30 the multiple $13,552,500,000,136
3. Divide by the total shares $4,329.87 TOTAL 2
NOW ADD THE TWO TOTAL $5,043.78 TOTAL 3
A TESLA SHARE SHOULD BE TRADING FOR $5,043.78 <<< THIS NUMBER
feel free to gather data from tesla's other ventures