Ox42

For an understanding of the future, look to the past?

FRED:UNRATE   米国民間失業率
Soft landing?

📊 Analyzing the US economy through key indicators:

SP500 📉: Historically drops before a recession.
Unemployment Rate 📈: Tends to spike during/after the onset of a recession.
ISM PMI 🚫: Values <50 often signal a contracting economy.
Yield Curve 🔄: Inversions have preceded past recessions.
While these correlations are strong, it's important to remember: Just because a recession was predicted in the past based on these, doesn't guarantee one now. Markets & economies evolve. Stay informed, not alarmed. See attached chart for insights!



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