XAU/USD Gold going DOWN until June 2023
アップデート済
B wave count simple 5-3-5 zig zag to the 1.618 extension on low volume w/ bearish divergence at the $1703 top and we're expected to come down significantly.
Its an internal retracement still correcting from all time highs so I'm looking at volume profile coming down from ATH. The point of control is around $1280 which led me to consider changing the pitchfork from original to schiff. As we know, price will at least tap the median line 80% of the time. This also coincides with a 50% fibonacci extension of A at $1265, the golden pocket 0.618-0.65 retrace of B at $1297-$1276.
I know triangles are supposed to have 3-3-3-3-3 structure, but is it possible this forms a symmetrical triangle and we don't get a breakout until the latter half of the decade? I struggle with labeling and couldn't put a count on it but to me the first leg down looks like wxyxz. It looks like the initial move down from ATH could never be considered a 3 wave structure. Can someone share their count?
This is not financial advice and please do your own research.
Its an internal retracement still correcting from all time highs so I'm looking at volume profile coming down from ATH. The point of control is around $1280 which led me to consider changing the pitchfork from original to schiff. As we know, price will at least tap the median line 80% of the time. This also coincides with a 50% fibonacci extension of A at $1265, the golden pocket 0.618-0.65 retrace of B at $1297-$1276.
I know triangles are supposed to have 3-3-3-3-3 structure, but is it possible this forms a symmetrical triangle and we don't get a breakout until the latter half of the decade? I struggle with labeling and couldn't put a count on it but to me the first leg down looks like wxyxz. It looks like the initial move down from ATH could never be considered a 3 wave structure. Can someone share their count?
This is not financial advice and please do your own research.
ノート
poc for wave B is similar to the entire corrective structure from athノート
The target will likely coincide w/ Wave 5 top in the US Dollar ノート
DXY wave4 would need to terminate above w1 top.. possibly the 0.618 extension level
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。