Moojed-Gold-Trader

XAU/USD Technical Analysis

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FX:XAUUSD   金/米ドル
XAU/USD Technical Analysis
Ascending Triangle Pattern Indicates Bullish Potential
Overview:
The gold spot price (XAU/USD) has been following a strong upward trend, as evident from the ascending trend line starting from early February. Recently, the price action has formed an ascending triangle pattern, which typically indicates a bullish continuation. This pattern is characterized by higher lows while the highs remain relatively flat, suggesting accumulation and potential for a breakout.

Key Levels:

Support Trend Line: The primary ascending support trend line has been tested multiple times, confirming its strength. Currently, this line is around the 2320 level.
Resistance Line: The horizontal resistance is evident around the 2450 level, where multiple peaks have converged.
Technical Indicators:

Price Action: The price is approaching the apex of the triangle, suggesting an imminent breakout. The recent pullback to the support line around 2330 levels indicates a potential buying opportunity.
Volume: Typically, volume tends to decline as the pattern matures and then spikes during the breakout. Monitoring volume will be crucial in confirming the breakout direction.
Target Projections:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the 2450 resistance, the next target would be around 2570, calculated by adding the height of the triangle to the breakout point.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the support at 2330, it may retest lower support levels around 2250.
Conclusion:
The ascending triangle pattern in XAU/USD suggests a bullish bias with a potential breakout above the 2450 resistance level. Traders should watch for increased volume to confirm the breakout and consider entering long positions with a target of 2570, while keeping a close stop below the 2330 support to manage risk.

Recommendation:

Entry: Consider buying near 2330 with a stop loss below 2300.
Targets: First target at 2450, followed by 2570 upon breakout confirmation.
Risk Management: Maintain a stop loss to manage downside risk effectively.
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