BTCUSD: bull/bear thesis with fractal and elliot wave analysis

Two possibilities are my primary now for bitcoin. Bullish, we have topped in a 3rd wave and after a 4th wave correction we will see new highs. Bearish, this latest parabolic move up fractal looks eerily similar to the 2017 move that blasted us to ~20K then almost just as quickly crashed. Repeat in store?