Stand pat! BTC-XLMによるKRAKEN:BTCUSDの分析

Hey guys and girls,

Here is an updated chart from my (Nov 12, 2023) post

As you can see, this is only half of the battle!

Further targets: $ 74k, $ 84k, and $ 100k

Appendix:

Structure: 5-3-5 (Inverted)

Bitcoin halving countdown: 49 Days

Technical Section:

Wave 5 has two different relationships:

1- If wave 3 is less than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> the 5th Wave overextends itself.

2- If Wave 3 is greater than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> Wave 5 = 100% , 161.8% or 262% of wave 1

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Halving countdown: 48 days

(as our countdown to number 1 continues) check this out:

Dec 29, 2022 (BTC= $ 16356) Comment:

* Just to clarify

Can Bitcoin reach $ 100k?

The answer may be a "maybe!".

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Inverse Head and Shoulders

Will it be ready?

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Targets: $ 74k, $ 84k, and $ 100k

Jun 13, 2023:

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What is going on?

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Today is a whole new day

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Update

BTC is completing the third wave of the second leg of a three-wave decline.

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There is something that you should know

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and then

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Plan B (worst-case)

BTC is completing the Fifth wave of the Third leg of a three-wave decline.

good luck

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Forget everything else

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I am not selling
I am so bullish on bitcoin

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Update

***

What we don't see, but will see

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18 Mar - 19 Apr

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Update

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Update

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its so absurd

doesn't deserve a comment

19 Mar 2024

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Final thoughts!

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Update (Wave XX > 85.4% of wave W )!

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we will see

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Halving Countdown : 28 days

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When in doubt, zoom out

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Superposition Principle ( Bull flag pattern + Second Try + 26 Days )

What to expect next?

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Watch out!

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Update (in support of the Bullish view ..)

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Update

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$ 70k

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Technical Section:

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Bitcoin = Untraceable digital cash

Good luck everyone

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BIG MISTAKE ;)

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Update

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Further targets: $ 84k, and $ 100k

We will see!

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Time is running out !

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Bitcoin's new ATH; 14 Mar 2024 ---> $ 73777

There is a different game plan

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You are clearly wrong (there is a different game plan!)

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There are two sides to every trade

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nothing has changed

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Halving 3 (11 May 2020) --- > + 693%

Is it different this time?

We will see!

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The last bear

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;)

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if you want the truth ...

good luck everyone

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I forgot to say ...

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Possible and probable

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Bulls are in control

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They're broke

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Can you count this?

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No comment !

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Bitcoin trading volumes

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What is a Bull Trap?!

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Vol = 5.429k

There is something seriously wrong

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Short-term:

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Don't try to catch a falling knife

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Update

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8 Apr 2024 18:15 (Final thoughts!)

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S&P500

It did

Will the stock market crash in 2024?

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Update

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bulls are looking under every stone for a reason to be bullish

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I'm totally sure

good luck

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No one is sure of the outcome

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Now we need a reasonable retracement amount (Wave C)

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I thank you all

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Honestly, I was very confident :)

I thank you for your trust 👍

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buying opportunity 30%

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(Warren Buffett) Honesty is a very expensive gift, Don't expect it from cheap people

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Honesty is a very expensive gift

don't expect it from cheap people!

don't expect it from cheap people!

don't expect it from cheap people!

good luck

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BTC > $ 67600 ---> Bullish

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Blue or brown ?

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Surely we'll retest 70k again

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buying opportunity 10%

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brown!

buying opportunity 10%

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If you are looking to buy the low, this is the way to go

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I bought (50% + 10% +10% +10%)

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$ 61500, buying opportunity 10% :)

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the unwritten RULES :)

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No comment

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Wave C = Wave B

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Show is over for now!

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Target= 68k

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Don't panic
nothing has changed :)

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Calculation of Profit and Loss (Apr 8- Apr 16) :

(Apr 8) I sold bitcoin at $ 72350
(Apr 12- 13) I bought bitcoin at (avg) $ 64400

(72350/64400)= 112% --- > Profit = +12%

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;)

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New ATH incoming :)

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Altseason (22 Apr - 22 Aug)

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Bitcoin halving- In plain English

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works for me

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BTC- holding strong

RSI (daily timeframe) = 36

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Herd mentality

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it was inevitable :)

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BTC

RSI---> Oversold territory

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BTC --> +1.34%

Gold---> +0.67% (bought at $ 2300)

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Wave C = 123.6% of Wave A

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(US Economy) Tesla -8%

What's going on?!

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Elliott Waves

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a quick scan to get an eagle's eye view of the market (Conclusion)

what I expected (check the date)

what actually happened (The orange path (Channel))

For what reason?

Herd mentality!

then, I said :

and,

(after Fed rate decision (not even one minute later!))

it did !

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BTC- Update

Target 1 = 68K

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update (May 2 Comment)

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Bitcoin is knocking on the door to 74k (inverse head and shoulders)

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BTC- Update

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what I see

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Wave C

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BTC- Update (Buying opportunity)

We will see

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You made a horrible mistake

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"Grayscale" spelled backwards is "Nokia"

Good Luck

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vain and superficial

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BTC- Elliott Waves

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Don't let fake news fool you ;)

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The Bottom is a paradise for fools

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fools are about to get REKT

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FTX will return money ...

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BTC- the bottom is in

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BTC-Elliott Waves

I see two possibilities:

1- Wave C= 61.8% of wave A
2- Wave C= 100% of wave A

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Bears need to explain that Bull Flag. Bears have no chance, I see you so clear!

I trust myself

Good Luck

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Who are these guys? these crazy crazy guys

Bear:

it's him !

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BTC- Update: (May 11, Comment: I see two possibilities)

To the best of my understanding, I think you are going to have a life changing experience

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Beautiful Inverse H&S

Follow the right way !

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BTC- Elliott Waves

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BTC- Update:

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BTC - Update

Wave C > 0.618 of wave A --->

Target 1 = 69k
Target 2 = 71k

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Dear friend
You must be happy again
Beautiful friend
You must go ahead
My friend
You must be brave, cause you must go the way
Yes I said, the sun must shine again!

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Update - May 18, Comment

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BTC- Bull market

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BTC- Buying opportunity

Backdrop:

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BTC

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BTC- May 16- Comment- Elliott Waves

***
Update:

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bye bye

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Awful nice! Use resistance as support

Go ahead

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

Works for me

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BTC- Update (Weekend consolidation)

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

works like a Swiss watch

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

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"this year" and "tonight"
Don't confuse these two

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

We will see

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BTC- nothing has changed

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BTC-Straight to 80k

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BTC- Ready to go?

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BTC-

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BTC- Moon mission

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BTC is about to go vertical

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BTC

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BTC- Update

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we will see

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It is an all-around bull market 👌

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Breakout Impending

outlook remains intact

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(outlook remains intact)
I stand behind what I am saying :)

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Beautiful Inverse H&S

Yeah, it is an all-around bull market

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment)

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$ 71589

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BTC- Double bottom (Bullish)

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BTC- Buying opportunity

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BTC- Ready to go?

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BTC- Target = $ 72k

We will see

***

What is going on?

1- The bears are bluffing, why? because they separate themselves from the SPX (SPX = 0.0% Neutral)

2- Gold = -3.37% (herd mentality)

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BTC- Elliott Waves- Regular Flat

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BTC- Yesterday's decline...

There is no need for panic

(07 Jun 2024) SPX 18:53

BTC 18:53 (herd mentality)

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BTC- Update

Nothing has changed for Bitcoin

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Bitcoin is ready for a massive pump. the bull run is starting.

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BTC- Brokers, Market makers, Floor traders

They'll try ...

Target= $ 71001

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BTC- They'll try ...

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I am going on vacation
so long and goodbye

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Hi everyone :)

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BTC

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BTC- Revision 1

Jun 7,Comment: BTC- Elliott Waves- Regular Flat

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BTC- What I See

Short liquidation- Long liquidation

Who are these guys?

Brokers, Market makers, Floor traders, CZ, ...

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Trade valid

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Mt.Gox :

a huge seller
at $ 70k

let's do some math here

40+30+20+9.8+13+32+11=155.8k

20+9.8+13+32+11=85.8k

means buyers are taking control (but, the market is not showing it)

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BTC- Dynamic analysis (logarithmic scale)

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BTC-

Yeah, trust me, trust with an "U" "you ;)"

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BTC- Update

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Smart Trap

This is how this works

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Brilliant strategy: Run to failure :)

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BTC

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BTC

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BTC- Reactions and Rallies

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pressure from the Americans

SPX- 14 Jun 2024, 14:31, -0.42%

****

BTC- 14 Jun 2024, 14:31 (herd mentality)

(American financial) markets in similar sectors (I mean: positive correlation!) usually move together

means that

neither bulls nor bears are in charge

so

Q- Who are these guys?

Answer:

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The first wave of the fifth wave

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3-5

Few Understand !

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3-3 X or 3-5 X ?

3-5 means nothing!

New ATH incoming. Looks pretty obvious

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Important levels

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doesn't mean anything else

good luck

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BTC- Dynamic analysis (Jun 14, Comment- Update)

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(Update) Jun 14, Comment, Smart Trap

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BTC

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Now we are at point C

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SPX = +0.47% (young managers)

BTC = -2%, (old managers) lost like a child in a dream

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SPX----- > New ATH 5462

BTC----> -2%

I still can't identify which order (group) of animals it belongs to

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BTC- As you know, the sources of good things can be bad (Panic selling--> bull run).

Panic selling means: Bears are out of the market right now,
means: the bull run is starting

Sometimes doing nothing is the best. We will see

18 Jun 2024 ($ 65616)
BTC-XLM

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Who is important?

and who is not?

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Vol= 2000 ---> you are nothing!

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Bear is just killing time

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BTC- major market move ahead

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BTC- Daily timeframe

MFI ---- > oversold
RSI ---- > oversold

reads:

BTC is about to go vertical

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BTC

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BTC

+2.2%
$ 66400

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ETH

ETC

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BTC- What is going on?

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BTC-

singer, actor, rapper ...

The last of the bears are novice traders :)

good luck

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BTC- low volume bottom

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BTC- Michael Saylor

stalking horse ---> buying level (MFI ---- > oversold, RSI ---- > oversold)

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bottom:

a- High volume (bearish) --- > bears are in control

b- Low volume (bullish) ----> means: he (the bear!) is on a buy program ! (phony waves)

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he is on a buy program!

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The tide is changing (Logical thinking is required !)

let's do some math here

as you can see

Bull whales have bought 407000 BTC

and

Bear whales have sold 632000 BTC

632000 - 407000 = 225000 BTC

means: they sold (225k BTC) more than they bought

as a result: sellers are drying up