Traders:
We are at the last call and at the height of the Bear Market Rally. Below are some Key points for each case scenario, Bulls & Bears!
Bears:
- 40MM people Unemployed / 25% UE
- Recession Confirmed. Minimum of 2 Quarters of Negative Growth.
- 100k+ Dead from Covid-19 and still growing!
- Average Bear Market Rally lasts 68 days. We are currently at 62 days.
- PEG Ratio is the highest ever, making this market the most overvalued in history
- US/China Tensions are getting worse every week. Trade War & New Cold War is about to kick-off.
- Bond Market has been dropping fast the last 90 days, heading to 0.
- VIX has dropped into the 20's within that last 2 weeks.
- Volume has been decreasing steadily over the last 6 weeks
- Massive Stimulus and Debt Bubbles in Play (Fiscal Balance Sheets are highest ever, Debt-to-GDP is approaching 200% quickly), the money printing is going Ape Shit to new unheard of levels.
- Gold has increased 40% in the last 60 Days
- Top Investors (Buffet & Dalio) warn of difficult days ahead.
Bulls:
- FOMO has kicked in & Newbie Retail buyers are pumping the market in hopes the FED has their back.
- FED has initiated the largest QE Stimulus in US history, advises we will print & spend our way out of this. By All Means Necessary!
- Economy is opening back open and the hope is that Covid-19 fades away and rehiring happens quickly.
- Vaccine trials have began and hopes are we will have a vaccine by year's end.
Well Folks, I think I hit most of the major items here. It's Do or Die time for the market to correct. This is a pivotal stage and June is the pivotal month, so be careful out there. I personally think this will turn into the Biggest Short in modern times.
Take Care and intellectual criticism is always welcomed.
JP - OUT
We are at the last call and at the height of the Bear Market Rally. Below are some Key points for each case scenario, Bulls & Bears!
Bears:
- 40MM people Unemployed / 25% UE
- Recession Confirmed. Minimum of 2 Quarters of Negative Growth.
- 100k+ Dead from Covid-19 and still growing!
- Average Bear Market Rally lasts 68 days. We are currently at 62 days.
- PEG Ratio is the highest ever, making this market the most overvalued in history
- US/China Tensions are getting worse every week. Trade War & New Cold War is about to kick-off.
- Bond Market has been dropping fast the last 90 days, heading to 0.
- VIX has dropped into the 20's within that last 2 weeks.
- Volume has been decreasing steadily over the last 6 weeks
- Massive Stimulus and Debt Bubbles in Play (Fiscal Balance Sheets are highest ever, Debt-to-GDP is approaching 200% quickly), the money printing is going Ape Shit to new unheard of levels.
- Gold has increased 40% in the last 60 Days
- Top Investors (Buffet & Dalio) warn of difficult days ahead.
Bulls:
- FOMO has kicked in & Newbie Retail buyers are pumping the market in hopes the FED has their back.
- FED has initiated the largest QE Stimulus in US history, advises we will print & spend our way out of this. By All Means Necessary!
- Economy is opening back open and the hope is that Covid-19 fades away and rehiring happens quickly.
- Vaccine trials have began and hopes are we will have a vaccine by year's end.
Well Folks, I think I hit most of the major items here. It's Do or Die time for the market to correct. This is a pivotal stage and June is the pivotal month, so be careful out there. I personally think this will turn into the Biggest Short in modern times.
Take Care and intellectual criticism is always welcomed.
JP - OUT
コメント:
FIBs were off a tad. Sorry about that. Here is the updated and correct chart.
