Technical Confluences: - Stochastics is very close to Overbought conditions in D1 timeframe - Price is close to the 161% Fibo Extension Line - Projection using Elliot Wave count is pointing that the price may push up towards the Fibo Extension Line
Fundamental Confluences: - With ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel & Iran, there is a pressure for XAU to remain supported - The reversal carry trade story may have legs to further push XAU up another leg as a safe haven - With incoming FED cuts, there is potential for a weaker USD coming into September - The above 3 points are the supporting for a higher XAU price. - Assuming we hit the Wave 3 projected price, the US election will pose a big risk to the global outlook and may see USD strengthen back during that period. A stronger USD may induce a weaker XAU.
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Will be placing Sell Limit orders and update if the projection comes true.
Disclaimer: The personal opinion above does not constitute as an investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above opinion is purely at your own risks. DYOR.