HEADER - This is followup to a previous work
SUMMARY - We are another important decisive moment
DETAILS - Looks like 1885 then 1760 OR 2010++ (two pluses not one, meaning 2030, 2050 etc...). But my thoughts are are on 1760. See previous work for why.
NOTES - May add more with time.
SUMMARY - We are another important decisive moment
DETAILS - Looks like 1885 then 1760 OR 2010++ (two pluses not one, meaning 2030, 2050 etc...). But my thoughts are are on 1760. See previous work for why.
NOTES - May add more with time.
コメント:
10/09 7:18 AM ET - SUPPORT AT 1840 AND NOT CLOSING THE GAP TODAY???\
d) looks like it's going to 1840 and getting bought to 1865
e) then 1832 AFTER 1865
f) that's what it looks like right now
d) looks like it's going to 1840 and getting bought to 1865
e) then 1832 AFTER 1865
f) that's what it looks like right now
コメント:
g) but like I said in previous post
h) if it moves to 1832, then it would move to 1855 in a few hours, maybe 2 maybe 4 hours
h) if it moves to 1832, then it would move to 1855 in a few hours, maybe 2 maybe 4 hours
コメント:
10/09 9:32 AM ET - FIRST REACTION AFTER NY OPEN DOESN'T LEAN EITHER WAY...
a) so it's very early, VERY early
b) but the fact that we haven't even touched 1840 is sort of implying 1840 or maybe maybe maybe even 1844 will hold here
c) and a run will take place to 1865 beginning now...
d) this implies rug pull to 1832 tomorrow
e) and there are many ifs here....
f) but already odds of a 1950 high for Friday are starting to pick up
g) but conversely odds of numbers higher than 1950 are dropping too...
h) so definitely a lot gray here
a) so it's very early, VERY early
b) but the fact that we haven't even touched 1840 is sort of implying 1840 or maybe maybe maybe even 1844 will hold here
c) and a run will take place to 1865 beginning now...
d) this implies rug pull to 1832 tomorrow
e) and there are many ifs here....
f) but already odds of a 1950 high for Friday are starting to pick up
g) but conversely odds of numbers higher than 1950 are dropping too...
h) so definitely a lot gray here
コメント:
10/09 10:52 AM ET CONTINUING AS EXPECTED
a) so 1843.xx held as suggested
b) and we are moving for 1865, but first 1855-57 in hours
c) first move to this area will get sold off to 1850-52 again
d) the next question is will price move for 1865 before NY CLOSES?
e) current expectations saying no
f) but last I night in previous post, it was also saying 1832 this morning
g) that is saying 2 things
h) don't be surprised by a move for 1865 before markets close today, even though I doubt it
i) the first signal for that would be 1858 very soon
a) so 1843.xx held as suggested
b) and we are moving for 1865, but first 1855-57 in hours
c) first move to this area will get sold off to 1850-52 again
d) the next question is will price move for 1865 before NY CLOSES?
e) current expectations saying no
f) but last I night in previous post, it was also saying 1832 this morning
g) that is saying 2 things
h) don't be surprised by a move for 1865 before markets close today, even though I doubt it
i) the first signal for that would be 1858 very soon
コメント:
j) the speed and size of the sell off after 1865, and how fast it will get bought
k) all of this inside 40 hours
l) obviously will determine HOW PRICE ACT WED THUR FRI
k) all of this inside 40 hours
l) obviously will determine HOW PRICE ACT WED THUR FRI
コメント:
m) I will comment next when we are 1845 after 1865
コメント:
3:40 PM ET 1862.XX WE HAVE A SHOT AT 1865
n) everything happened in realm of our expectations
o) so that's a wrap for today
n) everything happened in realm of our expectations
o) so that's a wrap for today
コメント:
10/09 5:14 PM ET... I NEED SOME HELP
a) so if you've been reading my posts since 9/12
b) you realize there's real value to my research
c) I've tried to make this process continue for as long as I can...
d) and finally figured out how to do it right over the last 3 weeks
e) but I can only keep doing this if there's legit interest in making this continue
f) so if you believe this work is legit, please support by spreading the word to other readers
g) this is really my last shot making this a real thing
a) so if you've been reading my posts since 9/12
b) you realize there's real value to my research
c) I've tried to make this process continue for as long as I can...
d) and finally figured out how to do it right over the last 3 weeks
e) but I can only keep doing this if there's legit interest in making this continue
f) so if you believe this work is legit, please support by spreading the word to other readers
g) this is really my last shot making this a real thing
コメント:
10/09 5:36 PM ET
1) so overnight targets are:
2) 1865, 1868, 1874, 1879
3) do I think it gets above 1865? or 1868?
4) I think it's hard to get past 1868
5) but the momentum in the regressions say it is the bears that need to to prove they can stop it
6) and at this second in time I don't yet have a reason to NOT EXPECT higher
7) this may change in 6 hours or it may not, we will see
8) with that said... BUT IF price tags higher than 1868 the bull route to 2010++ have to taken seriously
1) so overnight targets are:
2) 1865, 1868, 1874, 1879
3) do I think it gets above 1865? or 1868?
4) I think it's hard to get past 1868
5) but the momentum in the regressions say it is the bears that need to to prove they can stop it
6) and at this second in time I don't yet have a reason to NOT EXPECT higher
7) this may change in 6 hours or it may not, we will see
8) with that said... BUT IF price tags higher than 1868 the bull route to 2010++ have to taken seriously
コメント:
コメント:
6:12 PM ET, for chart above:
a) so VERY GENERALLY, that is the look for next 24 hours or so
b) there 3 things that can be said about that
c) a move to 1875, but HOW IT GETS THERE IS NOT RELIABLE
d) a check down to 1855-1860 after market opens in NY
e) and the first reaction is that checkdown SHOULD BE BOUGHT
f) HOWEVER, I am doing this unreliable from my phone
g) so I am not sure HOW STRONG WILL THAT BUYING AT 1855 AREA WILL.BE TOMORROW
a) so VERY GENERALLY, that is the look for next 24 hours or so
b) there 3 things that can be said about that
c) a move to 1875, but HOW IT GETS THERE IS NOT RELIABLE
d) a check down to 1855-1860 after market opens in NY
e) and the first reaction is that checkdown SHOULD BE BOUGHT
f) HOWEVER, I am doing this unreliable from my phone
g) so I am not sure HOW STRONG WILL THAT BUYING AT 1855 AREA WILL.BE TOMORROW
コメント:
h) do not use that hilight as a guide
i) it's a VERY GENERALIZED pattern, that is all
i) it's a VERY GENERALIZED pattern, that is all
コメント:
j) so if you are up tonight until 3 AM ET, keep looking up and up
コメント:
k) as always, if price goes off anticipated path, assume I am wrong and trade defensively
コメント:
l) that is to say if I don't post something to a move off the plan, assume I am wrong until my next update
コメント:
7:37 PM ET - A NOTE ABOUT UPDATING
1) if you've read me in the last year...
2) you aware that my position is that the more I pay attention (or continuously watch price), the more I get right
3) that is also saying the longer I don't chime in and add notes the less valid my forecasts are
1) if you've read me in the last year...
2) you aware that my position is that the more I pay attention (or continuously watch price), the more I get right
3) that is also saying the longer I don't chime in and add notes the less valid my forecasts are
コメント:
4) so the more time passes would my saying something, the less you can trust what I said about expectations
コメント:
5) that's the same thing as saying I have a method to continuously forecast price accurately
6) but it I don't have the backing to automate it
7) so let's do this for 100 days to prove my pint once and for all
8) and if you are interested in getting this thing off the ground with me (background in software engineering, coding, finance) let me know
6) but it I don't have the backing to automate it
7) so let's do this for 100 days to prove my pint once and for all
8) and if you are interested in getting this thing off the ground with me (background in software engineering, coding, finance) let me know
コメント:
8:00 PM ET 1862.XX, looking like 1866+ soon, need reconfirmation.
コメント:
8:54 PM ET 1864.XX, second try to break up should do it after first tag of 1865 got smacked down.
a) so I said "need reconfirmation" bc the look of a "breakout" and the look of a "double top" is very similar
b) you can't honestly say you know without several angles regressions or wave ratios
c) even in a strong 1-direction move
d) so since I was on the road, I stated what I saw and said "need reconfirmation"
a) so I said "need reconfirmation" bc the look of a "breakout" and the look of a "double top" is very similar
b) you can't honestly say you know without several angles regressions or wave ratios
c) even in a strong 1-direction move
d) so since I was on the road, I stated what I saw and said "need reconfirmation"
コメント:
e) so the breakout is aiming for 1868.50 but maybe not directly
f) meaning a bit zig zag this hour before 1868-69 in 90 min or so
f) meaning a bit zig zag this hour before 1868-69 in 90 min or so
コメント:
g) more like 60-75 min
コメント:
h) 9:05 PM ET, first sign of a 1880 high tomorrow before noon ET
コメント:
i) that does not mean likely, that just means its on the radar, or realistic
コメント:
j) 9:10 PM ET, runaway extreme is at 1894 can't be eliminated for 12 hours zone
k) until we see reaction at 1875-1880
k) until we see reaction at 1875-1880
コメント:
l) correction, for 9 hour zone, not 12 hours
m) bc 1894 window expire at 6 AM ET, even if price rises continuously
m) bc 1894 window expire at 6 AM ET, even if price rises continuously
コメント:
n) correction again, for 14 hours, not 9 or 12
コメント:
9:41 PM ET, so now it looks like this:
コメント:
a) for chart above:
b) so now it looks like we are not going to tag 1855 in the morning
c) furthermore, 1880 is likely before 2 PM ET
d) furhtermore, if we tag 1855, it won't be until late Tuesday night
e) why?
f) bc the SECOND TIME it retracs to 1860-63 it will STILL BE BOUGHT
g) but thats just getting way ahead of ourselves extrapolating
h) what is reliable for now?
i) next stop 1875 followed by 1863 followed by second run at 1875
b) so now it looks like we are not going to tag 1855 in the morning
c) furthermore, 1880 is likely before 2 PM ET
d) furhtermore, if we tag 1855, it won't be until late Tuesday night
e) why?
f) bc the SECOND TIME it retracs to 1860-63 it will STILL BE BOUGHT
g) but thats just getting way ahead of ourselves extrapolating
h) what is reliable for now?
i) next stop 1875 followed by 1863 followed by second run at 1875
コメント:
9:46 PM ET WHAT COMES AFTER 1885??
a) so I know we should take 2010 seriously for Friday
b) but that doesn't mean that it is the favorite yet
c) right now, w/o total reconfirmation here's how that looks
d) 1920 is favored vs 1760
e) but 1760 is favored over 2010
g) again, lots of gray
h) as I have said before, even if it's hard to handicap...
i) handicap we must to have a view on what's coming
j) otherwise, it's a shot in the dark
a) so I know we should take 2010 seriously for Friday
b) but that doesn't mean that it is the favorite yet
c) right now, w/o total reconfirmation here's how that looks
d) 1920 is favored vs 1760
e) but 1760 is favored over 2010
g) again, lots of gray
h) as I have said before, even if it's hard to handicap...
i) handicap we must to have a view on what's coming
j) otherwise, it's a shot in the dark
コメント:
9:52 PM FIRST SIGN OF BEARS HOLDING 1868
a) very early, odds at less than 10%
a) very early, odds at less than 10%
コメント:
b) 9:59 PM ET 1863.XX ok so bears want 1860-61 next
c) my experience here says prove it
d) as in until they prove they can do it odds still favor 1868-1875 next
e) but I would say they are 20%
c) my experience here says prove it
d) as in until they prove they can do it odds still favor 1868-1875 next
e) but I would say they are 20%
コメント:
10:12 PM ET 1864.XX here's that chart again (missed a line):
コメント:
コメント:
a) let's try this again w/ chart above:
b) so right now, the lower line is in play
c) if and when it crosses to the right...
d) the 3 lines coming from the 1855 gap up becomes the important ones in descending order one by one
e) as of this second in time, I am still expecting 1875 next following the hilight
f) if I wake in the middle of the night, I will chime in to see what's going on
b) so right now, the lower line is in play
c) if and when it crosses to the right...
d) the 3 lines coming from the 1855 gap up becomes the important ones in descending order one by one
e) as of this second in time, I am still expecting 1875 next following the hilight
f) if I wake in the middle of the night, I will chime in to see what's going on
コメント:
g) I gotta clean up and get to bed
コメント:
10/09 11:00 PM ET, W/O GOING INTO DETAIL, HERE'S A SIGNAL FOR 1843:
コメント:
a) for chart above:
b) so that line from 1810 (from NFP), looks like it's about to break
c) from 5 angles or different ratios, it is not favored to break
d) but if it does soon...
e) the math says it's going 1843 by noon tomorrow
b) so that line from 1810 (from NFP), looks like it's about to break
c) from 5 angles or different ratios, it is not favored to break
d) but if it does soon...
e) the math says it's going 1843 by noon tomorrow
コメント:
f) so what do I still think?
g) I still think 1875 next
g) I still think 1875 next
コメント:
11:17 PM LAST NOTE AND I'M BEDSY:
コメント:
a) for chart above:
b) so right now combined blue and orange route odds are 80% or more
c) while gray route to 1843 is 20% or less
b) so right now combined blue and orange route odds are 80% or more
c) while gray route to 1843 is 20% or less
コメント:
d) THAT IS RIGHT NOW...
e) but odds change based on what happens next couple of hours so be aware
e) but odds change based on what happens next couple of hours so be aware
コメント:
f) just like that and it's 25% now at 11:23 PM ET
g) price moves somewhat like water to me
g) price moves somewhat like water to me
コメント:
h) so before I'm out, I think it's the orange route, it makes the most sense
コメント:
i) so price stays between these two lines:
コメント:
j) will pickup from there middle of the night or in the morning either or
コメント:
k) as a clue, if by 3 AM ET it gets under the lower bold line...
l) that's a real sign it's doing the the gray route to 1841-42 by 2 PM ET tomorrow
l) that's a real sign it's doing the the gray route to 1841-42 by 2 PM ET tomorrow
コメント:
m) how quickly things change... huh? was just talking 1880s a few hours ago
コメント:
10/10 12:01 AM ET, I DONT HAVE EVIDENCE FOR THIS...
a) this is my gut saying this; bc it's an underdog
b) but if we are going to do 1760 next, then the gray route should win out
c) that means from here, it's 1855, 1861, 1855, 1841 (and lower?), and then 1865 again on Wed AM right b4 CPI
a) this is my gut saying this; bc it's an underdog
b) but if we are going to do 1760 next, then the gray route should win out
c) that means from here, it's 1855, 1861, 1855, 1841 (and lower?), and then 1865 again on Wed AM right b4 CPI
コメント:
10/10 7:15 SO HERE IS WHAT HAPPENED:
コメント:
a) price took an even weaker version of the gray route
b) which when picked up originally wasn't even 10%
c) but as stated in the clue I wrote last night, breaking under second line would mean gray route
b) which when picked up originally wasn't even 10%
c) but as stated in the clue I wrote last night, breaking under second line would mean gray route
コメント:
7:32 AM ET SO TUESDAY TO NY CLOSE LOKS LIKE THIS:
コメント:
a) in chart above, what I think I know now:
b) so first the small bounce to 1858-ish doesn't have to happen
c) or actuallly doesn't have to happen "that way"
d) it could be like this (but same difference):
b) so first the small bounce to 1858-ish doesn't have to happen
c) or actuallly doesn't have to happen "that way"
d) it could be like this (but same difference):
コメント:
コメント:
e) so with chart above, odds of striking 1844 is SUPER HIGH right now
f) what we DON'T KNOW bc it's not in the bollingers right now is THE TAIL END TO 1832
g) like last night, where bears have to prove they can stop numbers above 1865
h) bears HAVE TO PROVE THEY CAN BREAK UNDER 1841
i) having said that (please aware of the process last night where 1880 target became 1841 target) this morning
j) so here's the trend lines you need to watch for this SCENARIO PLAYING OUT
f) what we DON'T KNOW bc it's not in the bollingers right now is THE TAIL END TO 1832
g) like last night, where bears have to prove they can stop numbers above 1865
h) bears HAVE TO PROVE THEY CAN BREAK UNDER 1841
i) having said that (please aware of the process last night where 1880 target became 1841 target) this morning
j) so here's the trend lines you need to watch for this SCENARIO PLAYING OUT
コメント:
コメント:
k) in chart above:
l) so the three 2-point bolded lines are obvious
m) the very bolded line DOES NOT EXIST YET, it's implied
n) so make that line striking at 1832 by NY CLOSE SO 4 PM ET
o) what regressions are saying is that odds of striking 1844-43-42 are high ahead of noon
p) then comes the prerequesite bounce past THE LINE THAT DOES NOT EXIST YET
q) and THEN IF price follows through and fill out the taill ...
r) and ODDS OF THIS HAPPENING IS BIG UNDERDOG, but so was the gray route vs orange and blue last night when I posted the 3 routeS
s) then that should be what you get when price tags 1832 FROM ABOVE LINE THAT DOES NOT EXIST YET
l) so the three 2-point bolded lines are obvious
m) the very bolded line DOES NOT EXIST YET, it's implied
n) so make that line striking at 1832 by NY CLOSE SO 4 PM ET
o) what regressions are saying is that odds of striking 1844-43-42 are high ahead of noon
p) then comes the prerequesite bounce past THE LINE THAT DOES NOT EXIST YET
q) and THEN IF price follows through and fill out the taill ...
r) and ODDS OF THIS HAPPENING IS BIG UNDERDOG, but so was the gray route vs orange and blue last night when I posted the 3 routeS
s) then that should be what you get when price tags 1832 FROM ABOVE LINE THAT DOES NOT EXIST YET
コメント:
10/10 7:56 AM ET, SO IT LOOKS LIKE THIS RIGHT NOW THROUGH WED NIGHT:
コメント:
a) for chart above: so the light gray part is strong
b) everything after is implied by longer trends
c) bc chart above was derived from 2 and 4 min bars
d) but the darker gray was derived from 15, 22, 30, and 45 min bars
e) then why would it be less valid?
f) the reason is simple, bc 1 5-minute bars is made of 5 1-minute bars
b) everything after is implied by longer trends
c) bc chart above was derived from 2 and 4 min bars
d) but the darker gray was derived from 15, 22, 30, and 45 min bars
e) then why would it be less valid?
f) the reason is simple, bc 1 5-minute bars is made of 5 1-minute bars
コメント:
g) so for this morning, it is short until 1844 (bc that's the easy part)
h) I am going to tap out until afternoon w 2 reminders
1) as always, if price moves away from forecast and I don't update in time, just assume I am wrong and trade defensively or trade what you see
2) if this work helps you please introduce to some one else by word of mouth (this is best way for me to keep on doing this for you, bc if I can't garner massive interest, I have to quit this for good)
h) I am going to tap out until afternoon w 2 reminders
1) as always, if price moves away from forecast and I don't update in time, just assume I am wrong and trade defensively or trade what you see
2) if this work helps you please introduce to some one else by word of mouth (this is best way for me to keep on doing this for you, bc if I can't garner massive interest, I have to quit this for good)
コメント:
8:11 AM ET HERE'S PICTURE FROM 1-MIN BAR (if nothing changes, I will post same chart as it evolves)
コメント:
9:11 AM ET first sign of something else ?
コメント:
a) an alternate route already existed before
b) just replay chart at top and look at orange path
c) but bulls have to prove it
b) just replay chart at top and look at orange path
c) but bulls have to prove it
コメント:
d) if they do bqreak tqhat line, then bulls hold 1851 and then sideways for1
コメント:
e) roughly 12 hours
コメント:
f) 9:40 AM ET
コメント:
g) indecision... nothing yet
コメント:
h) we should know by 10:30 AM ET
コメント:
9:57 AM ET bulls want this:
コメント:
Or this, but same difference:
コメント:
And barring surprise reversal in hours, now we know:
コメント:
SO THIS DEVELOPMENT MEANS NEXT 10 HOURS NOT WORTH TRADING
コメント:
a) for chart above:
b) so barring a surprise reversal to gray route
c) there a number of zigzag route before actually moving for 1880
d) they are all equally valid and like to morph into each other
e) that's another way of saying let's just call it a day
b) so barring a surprise reversal to gray route
c) there a number of zigzag route before actually moving for 1880
d) they are all equally valid and like to morph into each other
e) that's another way of saying let's just call it a day
コメント:
f) I will pick up here at 7PM ET.
コメント:
g) for those trading it, it's 1855-1865, but more like 1857-1863, scalp all you want
コメント:
10:40 AM ET... so in most recent notes above, I mentioned "barring a surprise reversal" twice... and this is why:
コメント:
a) for chart above:
b) does that mean it's going gray route again?
c) it means it's more likely, that is all
b) does that mean it's going gray route again?
c) it means it's more likely, that is all
コメント:
d) ok, so under that line, gray is favored
e) over that line orange is favored
f) but I swear I've seen it done this (and provide zero clue which direction):
e) over that line orange is favored
f) but I swear I've seen it done this (and provide zero clue which direction):
コメント:
g) to sum it up, if it stays under that line for some time like in this box w/o crossing up:
コメント:
h) then this is our "base case for next 30 hours:
コメント:
i) for chart above: so the gray route would be odds on favorite by far...
j) with a possible 55 point move from WED 7 AM TO 7PM
j) with a possible 55 point move from WED 7 AM TO 7PM
コメント:
k) for an example about how annoying this part is until 2-3 PM
l) right now at 10:54 AM ET, AND UNDER THAT LINE, AND 1854.97....
m) 15- and 30-sec bars favor bull route, and they are probably wrong
n) but YOU DON'T KNOW THAT until it's decisive
l) right now at 10:54 AM ET, AND UNDER THAT LINE, AND 1854.97....
m) 15- and 30-sec bars favor bull route, and they are probably wrong
n) but YOU DON'T KNOW THAT until it's decisive
コメント:
o) even on smaller scales it's weird
p) 1-, 5-, even 10-sec bars calling 1850 next, but 15-sec and 30-sec bars calling 1860 next
q) so you don't know until you know
p) 1-, 5-, even 10-sec bars calling 1850 next, but 15-sec and 30-sec bars calling 1860 next
q) so you don't know until you know
コメント:
11:49 AM ET GOT THE SIGNAL FOR 1868-1870 BY NY CLOSE:
コメント:
a) so here it's the blue route
b) I totally DO NOT KNOW WHAT IT DOES AFTER THAT
c) there's 3-4 permutations of trends and they all make sense
d) so let's just wait for reaction at 1868-1870 then we will discuss more
e) originally the cap for today's high was 1863 this morning
f) but after the third or fourth mini-checkdowns, now it's 1870
b) I totally DO NOT KNOW WHAT IT DOES AFTER THAT
c) there's 3-4 permutations of trends and they all make sense
d) so let's just wait for reaction at 1868-1870 then we will discuss more
e) originally the cap for today's high was 1863 this morning
f) but after the third or fourth mini-checkdowns, now it's 1870
コメント:
12:15 PM -- I've stated many times... that in order to get it right, you have to watch ALL THE TIME... because the moves sometime morphs continuously in a just a short time. Hence:
コメント:
a) for chart above:
b) obviously gray route is big under dog now
c) orange is also not favored
d) the most likely is now blue route
e) red route is just a variation of blue route
f) so expectations are:
g) 1868, 1870, 1873, 1875 all before midnight
h) i) then it gets confusing whether we do an ascending double top or a descending double top
b) obviously gray route is big under dog now
c) orange is also not favored
d) the most likely is now blue route
e) red route is just a variation of blue route
f) so expectations are:
g) 1868, 1870, 1873, 1875 all before midnight
h) i) then it gets confusing whether we do an ascending double top or a descending double top
コメント:
i) but right this second (and this s*$& changes ALL THE TIME...), all of them say 1810 before Wednesday midnight into Thursdsay:
コメント:
12:37 PM ET, 10/10 so now, this is base case:
コメント:
... so on 2-min bars, this is the line we are watching for that signal:
コメント:
a) for chart above:
b) so that signal is
c) if we close above that line today
d) regressions say we run to 1870, 1875, 1880 and 1885 w/in realm of reason
b) so that signal is
c) if we close above that line today
d) regressions say we run to 1870, 1875, 1880 and 1885 w/in realm of reason
コメント:
e) if you replay chart at top, we are at the first bear box (first blue one)
f) the whole idea of this work is to first, get a very generalized idea about what is coming
g) and then DETAIL THE WORK AROUND THE CLOCK AS OFTEN AS POSSIBLE
h) in that way, there are no surprises
i) but remember, if I stop updating and something goes off the anticipated path....
j) always assume I'm wrong and trade defensively
f) the whole idea of this work is to first, get a very generalized idea about what is coming
g) and then DETAIL THE WORK AROUND THE CLOCK AS OFTEN AS POSSIBLE
h) in that way, there are no surprises
i) but remember, if I stop updating and something goes off the anticipated path....
j) always assume I'm wrong and trade defensively
コメント:
k) because outdated and wrong is the same thing
コメント:
l) for those quick w/ the math, here is how (on 1 of 5 major wave ratios, or as I call them view "angle"), this move is anticipated:
コメント:
a) so first, all longer waves/trends have been taken into consideration
b) so now light gray wave=x, orange =1/2(x), navy =1/4(x), dark gray/black=1/8(x)
c) we know, due to the composition (perfect order, short to long) of 1/8(x) that
d) a great majority of the time.. it will turn 1/4(x) the other direction or back up
e) at the same time , even though 1/2(x) has negative slope, it is STILL ON TOP OF "x"
f) this configuration STRONGLY IMPLIES A A MOVE TO 1869-1870 or at the top of the waves in this picture
b) so now light gray wave=x, orange =1/2(x), navy =1/4(x), dark gray/black=1/8(x)
c) we know, due to the composition (perfect order, short to long) of 1/8(x) that
d) a great majority of the time.. it will turn 1/4(x) the other direction or back up
e) at the same time , even though 1/2(x) has negative slope, it is STILL ON TOP OF "x"
f) this configuration STRONGLY IMPLIES A A MOVE TO 1869-1870 or at the top of the waves in this picture
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g) so here are "congruent bolllingers for those waves" overlayed:
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h) in this configuration the median of 1-SD bollinger of orange wavve is at 1850-ish
i) but once price hits 1870, it makes the slope of this wave TEMPORARILY POSITIVE, pushing for the top of bollinger now at1873.5
j) fractal patterns say it over shoots 1874 by 5-10 pts
k) if it doesn't???, then this:
i) but once price hits 1870, it makes the slope of this wave TEMPORARILY POSITIVE, pushing for the top of bollinger now at1873.5
j) fractal patterns say it over shoots 1874 by 5-10 pts
k) if it doesn't???, then this:
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l) so here's what we need to make the next 36 hours VERY INTERESTING AND HIGH VALUE 2-WAY VOL (huge profitable zig-zags)
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m) for chart above: so we need it to take out that line
n) it should and once it does, it will also check down to make sure, bc it always does...
o) most of the remaining move will happen AFTER 6PM ET once markets re-open
p) I wonder if some ISRAEL-IRAN news make the machines run it up and then rug pull
n) it should and once it does, it will also check down to make sure, bc it always does...
o) most of the remaining move will happen AFTER 6PM ET once markets re-open
p) I wonder if some ISRAEL-IRAN news make the machines run it up and then rug pull
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q) I am going to take a long break and be back like 10 PM ET...
r) as always, watch for changes to the anticipated move, if it leans too far, assume I was wrong and trade defensively
r) as always, watch for changes to the anticipated move, if it leans too far, assume I was wrong and trade defensively
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s) but keep in mind the main move we wait for is this one, bc all the permutations say this right now:
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1:36 pm ET 1859.88.. until price holds under 1857 for 15-30 min
a) then blue route is still odds on favorite for this topping process
b) if it holds under 1857, then its another route to 1810, I just have to see later
a) then blue route is still odds on favorite for this topping process
b) if it holds under 1857, then its another route to 1810, I just have to see later
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2:30 PM ET.. I am stumpted right now... WTF? how did that not break yet??
a) too many permutations to follow through at this juncture
b) that is to say that for me to figure which one is favorite, it takes more time than we have from now to midnight
c) arghh....
a) too many permutations to follow through at this juncture
b) that is to say that for me to figure which one is favorite, it takes more time than we have from now to midnight
c) arghh....
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2:56 PM ET - THIS POST HAS ENDED -- I think I got the way down, go here:
a) so we left off on forming this chart with specific trend lines
b) any unobvious trend line was/were chosen from my regression model
c) so there's the picture in play for this week