Bitcoin surprise move

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It might not make much sense in the current mood because the majority of market participants expect either more downside or sideways price action for the next 12/18 months, but I feel the real surprise would be an upside move.
A strong move, forcing the many in disbelief to rush in mid-to-late on the way to an early top somewhere in the low 6 figures range.

I give this idea a 60% confidence rate.
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It's been a beautiful January. Candle closed right at resistance, allowing February to open right at the upper boundary of the wedge.

Looks great to me
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