Sell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and we expect a strong reaction off this level for a drop to 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level where we expect a huge drop from.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey. It is one of the biggest market moving economic releases because of its Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents which reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. We’re expecting forecasts of an decrease which means a bearish USD is expected, this goes against our bearish EURUSD view hence it is best to exercise caution on this trade.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and we expect a strong reaction off this level for a drop to 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level where we expect a huge drop from.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey. It is one of the biggest market moving economic releases because of its Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents which reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. We’re expecting forecasts of an decrease which means a bearish USD is expected, this goes against our bearish EURUSD view hence it is best to exercise caution on this trade.