• As per DOW’s theory Price action is registering Higher Highs and Higher Lows. • Candle Stick pattern show Inverted Hammer is followed by Bullish Engulfing candle which indicates Bulls are in control. • Support zone is at 1.23386 which can help price bounce up to continue bullish trend. • Linear Regression Channel with standard deviation 2 is used as trend line Support and Resistance. It is evident Price has respected median line and moved back up. • Support Zone confluences with Fib Level 78.6% and price has respected it. • Formation of Bullish Pennant, which indicates continuation of current trend. • As per Seasonal Analysis, BXY remain Bullish until closing of 2nd week of January 2023 with an increment of 2.35% from December 2022. It is safe to say it can sustain to close bullish for January Month. • On the other hand, as per last 10 years seasonal BXY remain slightly bearish in January month. • Macro Analysis on 1 Day Time-Frame trend is Bullish. • Micro analysis on 15 Minutes Time-Frame Trend remains Bullish. • Hidden Bullish Divergence spotted on RSI oscillator. • Average Directional Index, which measures the trend direction strength and its value is at 31.96 which indicates trend is strong.
Bearish Indications
• Price action is approaching Resistance zone at 1.24103 which can bounce back. • DXY index analysis shows it to be testing a major support area which can provide a cushion for a bounce back which can result in trend reversal upon confirmation.
• AB=CD Harmonic Pattern indicates a reversal in trend is possible in area of 1.24526. But we can be only sure of reversal of trend if DOW’s theory is valid for the trend. • 10 years Seasonal analysis of DXY show it remain Bullish in January. • BXY index analysis shows it to be approaching a major resistance zone which can bounce back the trend.
Analysis Takeaways:
As per facts available to us and projections we can assume that it is quite possible that trend will continue to be bullish with a short-term bounce back from resistance area and again will continue as biased. However, we can’t reject the possibility of trend reversal into a bearish trend as per market sentiments so we need to be cautious and safely take what we can until that happens.