GOLD → Correction before further decline

一昨日

XAUUSD is testing the zones of interest within the counter-trend correction after it managed to break a rather strong level earlier. The fundamental background is not very good, there is bearish pressure on the market.



The negative impact on gold is built around the hawkish stance of the Fed (inflation, Trump's future policy and the economic data of the last two weeks). The cycle of interest rate cuts may slow to 2 rate cuts for 2025.
Friday's correction is mainly due to PCE data, but I don't think it will change the global picture.
Towards the end of the year, it is logical to reduce liquidity in the markets, which could increase mispriced volatility in the market. Be careful!
The gold market is still supported by the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.

Technically, price is forming a flag after a strong decline. At the moment the price is inside the pattern and for trading it is worth paying attention to the boundaries of the local channel.

Resistance levels: 2620, 2631, 2640
Support levels: 2606, 2560

Emphasis on 2620. If the bears break the level and keep the defense below the level, it can generally increase the pressure, which will provoke the price drop.
But I do not rule out an attempt to break the channel resistance and retest 2640-2650 before a further fall.

Regards R. Linda!