Last week we saw AUD/JPY roll over nicely from a key resistance zone, yet its fast turnaround from the 200-day EMA now has a potential bullish breakout on our radar.
A bullish pinbar formed on Friday after prices fell through our bearish target before closing above the 100-day EMA, then breaking above the 50 and 20-day EMAs on Monday. Prices are holding around trend resistance ahead of today's RBA meeting, where economists favour a 25bp hike yet money markets have priced in a pause.
A hawkish meeting could send prices above 96, whilst a pause could see an initial pullback. IN which case, we'd like to see evidence of a swing low above or around Friday's high or the 20-day EMA, in anticipation of an eventual break above 96.
A bullish pinbar formed on Friday after prices fell through our bearish target before closing above the 100-day EMA, then breaking above the 50 and 20-day EMAs on Monday. Prices are holding around trend resistance ahead of today's RBA meeting, where economists favour a 25bp hike yet money markets have priced in a pause.
A hawkish meeting could send prices above 96, whilst a pause could see an initial pullback. IN which case, we'd like to see evidence of a swing low above or around Friday's high or the 20-day EMA, in anticipation of an eventual break above 96.
