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AUD/USD Consolidates Near Key Levels Ahead of NFP Release

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FX:AUDUSD   豪ドル/米ドル
AUD/USD Consolidates Near Key Levels Ahead of NFP Release

The AUD/USD pair is poised with cautious optimism, demonstrating modest gains on Friday and settling around the 0.6600 level following a noteworthy rebound on Thursday. The current market condition places the price within a pivotal range area, notably close to the 50% Fibonacci level. Delving into our analysis, with a keen eye on the correlation with USD pairs, especially the EUR/USD, there emerges a compelling suggestion of a potential reversal around this region or slightly above, possibly aligning with the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels. The imminent Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release is anticipated to be a linchpin for confirmation, with the emergence of a reversal pattern expected to fortify this outlook.

Recent data from the United States, particularly the upswing in jobless claims, hints at a softening labor market. This has stoked expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in March, adding an extra layer of complexity to the unfolding economic scenario.

The focal point today remains the eagerly awaited Nonfarm Payrolls report for November. Projections suggest a moderate improvement in employment figures. In the wake of tepid readings in the JOLTs Job Openings and ADP data earlier in the week, a robust NFP report has the potential to complicate matters for the Fed. It might usher in significant volatility in the US Dollar as market participants keenly assess the economic landscape and the Fed's potential policy responses.


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