FX618Analysis

USDCHF: Greenback Demand Could Finally Break The Range!

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FX:USDCHF   米ドル/スイスフラン
This market has been ranging for quite some time now, even the start of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine did not have much impact on this pair!. The reason being simple enough, they are both safehaven currencies and in risk off markets they are both in demand.

However, since Switzerland is in EUROPE, the conflict would likely increase the demand for the USD more compared to the CHF. However saying that does not mean we should LONG the USD here, technical analysis should always be performed to increase the trade probability and quality.

Looking at the main weekly chart on USDCHF, everything is self explanatory based on technical perspective. The main point here is we have to wait for the weekly candle to close outside the upper range to confirm this breakout. After this a LONG trade can be evaluated based on the risk to reward ratio.

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