CityIndex

Swing trade long for USD/JPY

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FX_IDC:USDJPY   米ドル/円
USD/JPY fell for five consecutive days by Monday's close, which was its worst 5-day run in three months. Yet two daily closed beneath the lower Keltner band and RSI (2) reaching oversold indicated that mean reversion higher was due.

Hotter-than-expected US inflation data confirmed our suspicions, and a bullish day broke the 5-day bearish sequence and confirmed a 3-bar bullish reversal (morning star) at the lower Keltner band.

Prices have already retraced partially within Tuesday's range, so bulls could either enter live at market or seek dips if it retraces further within yesterday's range. With a stop below Friday's low, bulls could target just beneath the 149 handle, the the 20-day EMA.
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